St Patricks vs Galway United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Galway United — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Galway United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 3-1 Galway United — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks beat Galway United 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, St Patricks had 56% of the ball to Galway United's 44%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Galway United.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Galway United?
St Patricks 3-1 Galway United in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Galway United?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 54%, draw 21%, Galway United 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.