Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
2.50/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.84
+54% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
30.03.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad and Lokomotiv Plovdiv shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ludogorets Razgrad at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 70% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 30%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 66%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5
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