Motagua 1-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Olancho
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.11.2025 Motagua Motagua 3-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
10.08.2025 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
13.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
26.01.2025 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
04.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
25.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and Olancho couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Motagua and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Olancho?

Motagua 1-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Motagua 53%, draw 24%, Olancho 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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