Marathon 2-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.67
Over 2.5
60%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
56%
-16.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
44%
+16.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.1pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +15%
1.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.27
-13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.01.2026 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
05.01.2026 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.11.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
31.08.2025 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
28.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon edged past CD Olimpia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marathon and 1.50 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Marathon 2-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Marathon 45%, draw 20%, CD Olimpia 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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