Marathon 2-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Jan 2026

📅05/01/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.20
-11% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
24.11.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
31.08.2025 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
28.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marathon and 1.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Marathon 2-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marathon 43%, draw 25%, CD Olimpia 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marathon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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