CD Olimpia 3-2 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.92/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.22
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.08.2025 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
28.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
26.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Marathon 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.17 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

CD Olimpia 3-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 43%, draw 28%, Marathon 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5
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