Real Espana 1-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.54/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Motagua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.09.2025 Motagua Motagua 3-2 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
18.05.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
15.05.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.04.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
23.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
16.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua squeezed past Real Espana 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Motagua found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Motagua?

Real Espana 1-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 38%, draw 26%, Motagua 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
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