CD Olimpia 1-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
2.03/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.35
+35% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.01.2026 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.11.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
31.08.2025 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
28.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia squeezed past Marathon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.17 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

CD Olimpia 1-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 48%, draw 22%, Marathon 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →