Rancho Santana 2-8 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
56%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
25.01.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-2 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
28.09.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-4 HT 0-1 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
23.07.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
27.02.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
04.11.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
25.08.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa ran out comfortable winners over Rancho Santana 8-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Matagalpa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 8-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rancho Santana and 1.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa?

Rancho Santana 2-8 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 25%, draw 19%, Matagalpa 55%. The final score 2-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
2 Mar 2026
00:00 Jalapa vs Diriangen Analysis →
02:00 Real Madriz vs Walter Ferretti Analysis →
05:00 UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli Analysis →