Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional de Football v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nacional de Football 0-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol squeezed past Nacional de Football 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (60%) landed.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 51% of the ball to CA Penarol's 49%, shots finished 8-9.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.00 for CA Penarol.
Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Result & Final Score
Nacional de Football 0 - 1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 43%, draw 32%, CA Penarol 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.