CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA Penarol v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA Penarol 2-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left CA Penarol and Nacional de Football with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, CA Penarol had 54% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 46%, shots finished 17-6.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Nacional de Football.
CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Result & Final Score
CA Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 43%, draw 31%, Nacional de Football 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.