Austria Wien 0-1 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
38%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
13%
13.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.0
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
14%
4.13
X/2
14%
11.35
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2 EV+ ✗
17%
9.37
2/X
6%
17.25
Value flag · 2/2 at 9.37 — our 17% vs market 7.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
59%
-23.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
17%
+21.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
28.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
24.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.02.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
17.09.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
0-1
AWAY Hartberg
75% Ball Possession 25%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg edged past Austria Wien 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hartberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Wien had 75% of the ball to Hartberg's 25%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Wien and 0.83 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Austria Wien 0-1 Hartberg in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 36%, draw 26%, Hartberg 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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