Aguila 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Apr 2026

📅02/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.01/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.93
+16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.02.2026 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
30.10.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.08.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
18.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
24.02.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Fuerte San Francisco shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Aguila carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aguila and 1.17 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Aguila 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Aguila 64%, draw 23%, Fuerte San Francisco 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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