Fuerte San Francisco 2-3 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
0.84/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.81
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.10.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.08.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
18.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
24.02.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
01.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Fuerte San Francisco 2-3 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 25%, draw 28%, Aguila 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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