Aguila 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.08/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.67
+25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
24.02.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
01.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
15.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila swept aside Fuerte San Francisco 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Aguila 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aguila 52%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Over 2.5
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