Alianza 2-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.38/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.10.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
10.08.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-2 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
02.03.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.12.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.12.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Isidro Metapan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Alianza 2-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza 43%, draw 25%, Isidro Metapan 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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