Aguila 3-3 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.96/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.39
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.08.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
18.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
24.02.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
01.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Fuerte San Francisco shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aguila at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Aguila 3-3 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aguila 59%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 19%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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