Caen 1-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.8
Over
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.04
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.56
6+
11%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 The Market 43%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.28/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.47
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
21.6 Crosses 31.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
18.10.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-2 Caen Caen FR2
05.01.2019 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-1 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
1-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.73 xG 0.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
355 Passes 451
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen and Red Star FC 93 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Red Star FC 93 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Caen had 45% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 1.00 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Caen vs Red Star FC 93?

Caen 1-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated an Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caen 30%, draw 28%, Red Star FC 93 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Red Star FC 93), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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