Nancy 1-0 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 May 2025

Nancy
1-0 HT 0-0
Nimes
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.8
Over
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No Pick
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.97
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
19%
3.63
6+
8%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
19%
3.92
X/2
8%
11.15
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
8%
9.68
2/X
6%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes The Market 21%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.60/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.28
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nimes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.08 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.01.2025 Nimes Nimes 1-2 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
01.03.2024 Nancy Nancy 3-1 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR3
22.09.2023 Nimes Nimes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
30.04.2022 Nancy Nancy 1-3 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
11.12.2021 Nimes Nimes 2-1 HT 2-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
16.01.2018 Nancy Nancy 0-2 HT 0-2 Nimes Nimes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-0
AWAY Nimes
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Nimes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nancy had 55% of the ball to Nimes's 45%, shots finished 10-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nancy and 1.67 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Nimes?

Nancy 1-0 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nancy 52%, draw 25%, Nimes 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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