Kapaz 2-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
45%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.5pp
45%
Away Win
33%
+11.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.69/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.71
-37% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
27.02.2026 Kapaz Kapaz 3-0 HT 3-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.08.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 3-0 HT 3-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
10.03.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.12.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
01.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz squeezed past Sumqayıt 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kapaz and 1.33 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Kapaz 2-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 31%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sumqayıt), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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