Kapaz 3-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.18/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.84
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.08.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 3-0 HT 3-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
10.03.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.12.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
01.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
14.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz ran out comfortable winners over Sumqayıt 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kapaz and 1.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Kapaz 3-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 26%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 50%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sumqayıt), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
27 Feb 2026
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