Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 51%
+16% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
0.96/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.57
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +74%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
19.08.2025 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
28.02.2025 Zira Zira 0-2 HT 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
06.02.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
18.01.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
06.11.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.10.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.50 for Zira.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 26%, draw 32%, Zira 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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