Zira 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.27/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.34
-1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.02.2025 Zira Zira 0-2 HT 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
06.02.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
18.01.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
06.11.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.10.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
29.04.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira and Araz Nahçıvan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zira at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Zira and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Zira 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zira 48%, draw 34%, Araz Nahçıvan 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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