Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.85
+11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
18.01.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
06.11.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.10.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
29.04.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
09.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan edged past Zira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 34% / 39% — and on the day Araz Nahçıvan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.83 for Zira.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 27%, draw 34%, Zira 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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