Zira 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.55/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
+33% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.11.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.10.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
29.04.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
09.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
01.10.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Araz Nahçıvan 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Zira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zira and 0.67 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Zira 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zira 39%, draw 32%, Araz Nahçıvan 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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