Sumqayıt 0-2 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.11/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.55
-14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
26.10.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.08.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
12.05.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
08.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
05.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK saw off Sumqayıt 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.50 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK?

Sumqayıt 0-2 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 48%, draw 26%, Sebail FK 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sumqayıt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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18 Jan 2025
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