Zira 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 24%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.02.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
18.01.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
06.11.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.10.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
29.04.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan saw off Zira 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zira at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zira and 0.67 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Zira 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zira 46%, draw 26%, Araz Nahçıvan 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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