Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.78
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
15%
6.06
X/2
15%
4.92
X/X
7%
3.74
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 43%
-26% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.43
-35% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.9 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
382 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
30.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
21.04.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 4-1 HT 3-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
24.09.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
16.04.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
0-1
AWAY Gangwon
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
332 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon edged past Incheon United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Incheon United had 52% of the ball to Gangwon's 48%, shots finished 3-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Incheon United and 1.50 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gangwon?

Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 34%, draw 24%, Gangwon 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Under 2.5
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