Gwangju 0-5 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.06
No
43%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.68
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
4%
17.3
X/1
6%
9.88
X/2
19%
3.93
X/X
16%
4.52
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.15
2/X
4%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+12.4pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 60%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
355 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
22.06.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
29.03.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
02.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-5
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 0
406 Passes 564
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen cruised past Gwangju 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Daejeon Citizen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gwangju had 43% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 57%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gwangju and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gwangju 0-5 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 21%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 54%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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