FC Seoul 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.23
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
11%
4.28
X/2
8%
9.36
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.95
2/2
9%
7.48
2/X
7%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.80
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.9 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-3 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
17.08.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 6-2 HT 3-2 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
28.05.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
03.03.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
23.11.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
21.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
2-3
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
452 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu nicked a narrow win over FC Seoul 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Seoul at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 62% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 38%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Seoul and 1.67 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

FC Seoul 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 55%, draw 24%, Gimcheon Sangmu 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Seoul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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