FC Seoul 1-3 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.42
X/2
7%
9.47
X/X
13%
5.67
2/1
7%
21.65
2/2
10%
7.11
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.80
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.8 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 Passes 381
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 6-2 HT 3-2 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
28.05.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
03.03.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
23.11.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
21.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-3
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
338 Passes 387
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu beat FC Seoul 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Seoul had 48% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 52%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Seoul and 1.17 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

FC Seoul 1-3 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 53%, draw 24%, Gimcheon Sangmu 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Seoul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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