Gwangju 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.35
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
11%
5.92
X/2
18%
5.44
X/X
11%
3.93
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.81
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.83/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.60
-19% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.5 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
337 Passes 383
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
02.07.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
28.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
02.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 9
281 Passes 415
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Crosses 36
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju got the better of Ulsan Hyundai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gwangju had 41% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 59%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gwangju 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 37%, draw 26%, Ulsan Hyundai 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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