Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.22
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.99
X/2
8%
6.42
X/X
9%
4.38
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.75
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.38/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.54
+28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
14.8 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.86 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
383 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
28.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
02.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
21.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2-0
AWAY Gwangju
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
383 Passes 376
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai beat Gwangju 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 50% of the ball to Gwangju's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.67 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 42%, draw 24%, Gwangju 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5
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