Daejeon Citizen 3-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.15
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
22%
4.45
X/2
8%
9.6
X/X
9%
6.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.25
2/2
10%
6.93
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 25%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
2.06/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.71
+33% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 13.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
15.03.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
24.11.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.10.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
19.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
29.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3-1
AWAY Jeju United
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
474 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen got the better of Jeju United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Daejeon Citizen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 55% of the ball to Jeju United's 45%, shots finished 17-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Daejeon Citizen 3-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 54%, draw 20%, Jeju United 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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