Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
12%
6.68
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.8
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.23/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.91
-13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses 19.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
24.11.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.10.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
19.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
29.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-1
AWAY Jeju United
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 468
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen and Jeju United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 43% of the ball to Jeju United's 57%, shots finished 13-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.33 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 28%, Jeju United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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