Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.18
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.16
X/2
13%
6.7
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.79
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Gangwon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
19.07.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 2-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
27.04.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
13.07.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
11.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-3 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.03.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-1
AWAY Gangwon
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
275 Passes 427
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Citizen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 41% of the ball to Gangwon's 59%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.17 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 43%, draw 25%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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