Panserraikos 1-1 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
45%
2.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.35
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.07 — our 45% vs market 39.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.73
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
15%
5.88
X/2
10%
5.02
X/X
18%
3.46
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.7
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -24%
1.31/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/0.79
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 2.0
17.4 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AE Larissa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 1.19
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
194 Passes 358
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
24.01.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
25.10.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-2 HT 0-2 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
12.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
26.09.2024 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
30.01.2011 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-1
AWAY AE Larissa
1.45 xG 0.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
261 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and AE Larissa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Panserraikos had 47% of the ball to AE Larissa's 53%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AE Larissa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panserraikos and 1.00 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs AE Larissa?

Panserraikos 1-1 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 32%, draw 32%, AE Larissa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AE Larissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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