Asteras Tripolis 4-2 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
23.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 38% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
17%
4.02
X/2
14%
8.44
X/X
16%
4.22
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
7.41
2/X
4%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +25%
1.32/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.38
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.4 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atromitos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
304 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Atromitos Atromitos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
21.02.2026 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
30.11.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.05.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 0-4 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
07.04.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
05.01.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
4-2
AWAY Atromitos
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
192 Passes 459
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis beat Atromitos 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 33% of the ball to Atromitos's 67%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.33 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Asteras Tripolis 4-2 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 42%, draw 28%, Atromitos 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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