VPS 1-2 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 Jul 2025

VPS
1-2 HT 1-2
Haka
📅02/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.65 — our 27% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.58
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
4.91
X/2
11%
7.88
X/X
8%
5.73
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
16%
5.35
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.7pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.77/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.56
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
24.0 Crosses 16.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Haka
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.70 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
340 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
19.10.2024 Haka Haka 2-3 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
18.08.2024 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
06.04.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
24.02.2024 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
23.07.2023 VPS VPS 4-1 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-2
AWAY Haka
1.12 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
306 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 25
33 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka nicked a narrow win over VPS 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, VPS had 49% of the ball to Haka's 51%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.12 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for VPS and 1.50 for Haka.

What was the final score of VPS vs Haka?

VPS 1-2 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VPS 44%, draw 24%, Haka 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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