Midtjylland 2-3 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.64
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.42
2-3 Goals
35%
2.13
4-5 Goals
28%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
57%
+9.2pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.8pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.62/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.82
+43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Randers FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 295
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
04.04.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
16.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-2 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.09.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
11.03.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
08.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC nicked a narrow win over Midtjylland 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Midtjylland at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Midtjylland and 1.67 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Midtjylland 2-3 Randers FC in the Friendlies on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 66%, draw 16%, Randers FC 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Midtjylland), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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