Homburg 1-1 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.76/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.81
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-1 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
17.08.2024 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-1 HT 2-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-0 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
13.09.2022 Homburg Homburg 3-2 HT 0-2 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg and Hessen Kassel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hessen Kassel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Homburg and 1.67 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Hessen Kassel?

Homburg 1-1 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Homburg 53%, draw 21%, Hessen Kassel 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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