Hibernian 1-2 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.47
X/2
13%
7.99
X/X
13%
4.69
2/1
11%
24.35
2/2
13%
6.17
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.40/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
25.1 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
300 Passes 435
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
21.03.2026 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
10.01.2026 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
25.11.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
11.01.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-1 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-2
AWAY Motherwell
1.94 xG 2.19
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
383 Passes 451
35 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell squeezed past Hibernian 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Motherwell found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.94 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hibernian and 0.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Hibernian 1-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 40%, draw 28%, Motherwell 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5
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