St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Johnstone v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
St. Johnstone
İKP
St. Johnstone 4-3 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
St. Johnstone nicked a narrow win over Kilmarnock 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.50 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
St. Johnstone 4-3 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 43%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.