Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hibernian v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Hibernian vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hibernian 0-1 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell edged past Hibernian 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hibernian had 49% of the ball to Motherwell's 51%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Hibernian 0-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 43%, draw 24%, Motherwell 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.