Celtic vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celtic 3-1 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic got the better of Hearts 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Celtic had 67% of the ball to Hearts's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.83 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celtic and 1.33 for Hearts.
What was the final score of Celtic vs Hearts?
Celtic 3-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celtic 57%, draw 22%, Hearts 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.