St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 1-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks and Derry City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.67 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St Patricks and 0.67 for Derry City.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Derry City?
St Patricks 1-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 49%, draw 24%, Derry City 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS No went the other way.