Derry City 0-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 May 2026

Derry City
0-0 HT 0-0
St Patricks
📅22/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Ireland - Premier League – 2026

Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.81
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.15
X/1
10%
6.1
X/2
16%
4.91
X/X
21%
3.74
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.45
2/X
4%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 14.15 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derry City v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.92/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.0 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Derry City vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.70 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2026 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
29.08.2025 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.06.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
05.05.2025 Derry City Derry City 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
03.03.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
25.10.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL

Derry City 0-0 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
0-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.76 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
376 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
8 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derry City vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City and St Patricks fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Derry City had 58% of the ball to St Patricks's 42%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.76 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patricks?

Derry City 0-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Derry City 28%, draw 34%, St Patricks 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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