Drogheda United 1-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
9%
5.83
X/2
9%
5.71
X/X
8%
4.98
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.57
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
+38% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.3 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundalk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 0.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
164 Passes 251
56% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2026 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
31.01.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United HAZ
01.11.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
19.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
12.07.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 4-2 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
06.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-1
AWAY Dundalk
0.80 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
149 Passes 213
54% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Dundalk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Drogheda United had 44% of the ball to Dundalk's 56%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.80 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Drogheda United and 1.33 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

Drogheda United 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 36%, draw 23%, Dundalk 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundalk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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