Dundalk vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundalk 1-1 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk and Drogheda United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Dundalk had 60% of the ball to Drogheda United's 40%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.81 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundalk and 1.00 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk 1-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 48%, draw 26%, Drogheda United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.