Shelbourne 1-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.93
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
21%
3.86
X/2
9%
11.3
X/X
8%
5.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.95
2/2
8%
9.79
2/X
6%
18.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.70/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.42
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
438 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 65%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.9 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Galway United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.05
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
502 Passes 176
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
27.06.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.04.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
03.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
20.09.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-1
AWAY Galway United
1.78 xG 0.49
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
481 Passes 140
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
31 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne and Galway United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shelbourne at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 69% of the ball to Galway United's 31%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shelbourne and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Shelbourne 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 58%, draw 21%, Galway United 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shelbourne), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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